Cesena U18 vs Napoli U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
9º
9º
27
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 4
CES
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CES
0 - 1
SAS
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LAZ
2 - 2
CES
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
61%
19%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 1
CES
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASR
2 - 0
NAP
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 1
EMP
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 3
NAP
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 2
BOL
29%
21%
51%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |