Cesena U18 vs Lecce U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
9º
9º
42
1º
7º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 1
CES
20%
20%
61%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CES
2 - 1
BOL
41%
21%
38%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 3
CES
40%
22%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 1
CES
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
SAM
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ASR
2 - 1
LEC
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
EMP
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 2
LEC
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 1
BOL
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |