Cesena U18 vs Lazio U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
3º
2º
54
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
ATA
3 - 2
CES
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
HEL
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
0 - 1
CES
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 4
CES
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CES
4 - 0
SAM
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LAZ
2 - 2
LEC
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ATA
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 1
LAZ
21%
20%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LAZ
3 - 2
SAS
61%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
LAZ
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |