Cesena U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
9º
9º
44
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CES
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
CES
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
ASR
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EMP
1 - 1
CES
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CES
2 - 5
LEC
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAM
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ASR
3 - 3
GEN
65%
18%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 0
GEN
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 2
LEC
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |