Cesena U17 vs Spezia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
5º
22
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
REG
1 - 4
CES
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CES
2 - 4
SAS
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 3
CES
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CES
3 - 2
PAR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BOL
5 - 1
CES
47%
21%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 1
GEN
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
REG
2 - 0
SPE
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 1
SAS
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
TOR
4 - 1
SPE
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAR
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |