Cesena U17 vs Modena U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
12º
5º
29
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
4 - 3
CES
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CES
1 - 1
CAR
86%
9%
4%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
CES
68%
16%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +11 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CES
0 - 3
INT
15%
19%
67%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Modena U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 0
MOD
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
SPE
16%
17%
66%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |