Cesarense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
COI
57%
23%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
CES
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
SPO
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CES
1 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
SPC
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 2
VSC
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
SPC
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COV
2 - 4
SPC
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACV
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |