Cesarense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
CES
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
CES
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CES
4 - 2
ANA
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SCV
3 - 4
CES
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 0
CES
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 0
LUS
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 2
GRI
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
4 - 4
LUS
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
BUS
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
SES
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |