Cervera B vs AEM SE A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
80.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cervera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
RIB
1 - 2
CER
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CER
3 - 5
VCC
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
MIR
36%
22%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CER
4 - 3
PYA
15%
18%
68%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CER
2 - 2
AEG
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AEM SE A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
AEM
3 - 0
MIR
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LCF
0 - 5
AEM
7%
13%
80%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AEM
2 - 1
PYA
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 2
AEM
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AEM
9 - 2
AEG
89%
7%
4%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |