Cervantes vs SD Llano 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cervantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ISS
4 - 1
CER
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CER
1 - 4
BAN
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DAI
3 - 0
CER
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CER
0 - 0
QUI
33%
22%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Llano 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 1
LUG
44%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 0
LLA
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
LLA
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 3
BAN
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 3
LLA
30%
24%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |