Cervantes vs Daimiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cervantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LLA
4 - 2
CER
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 0
CER
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CER
0 - 5
PON
42%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CER
1 - 2
ALM
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 3
CER
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Daimiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DAI
1 - 1
ISS
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DAI
1 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 1
DAI
44%
26%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DAI
1 - 0
MIG
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
DAI
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |