Cerva GD vs Vila Pouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerva GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
CER
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CER
5 - 0
SAB
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MES
2 - 4
CER
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CER
3 - 2
VPE
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FON
0 - 4
CER
8%
16%
76%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Pouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SCV
2 - 0
RIB
59%
21%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 2
SCV
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SCV
0 - 3
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REG
1 - 0
SCV
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SCV
2 - 3
ABA
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |