Cerva GD vs SC Freamunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerva GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CER
0 - 2
AMA
14%
19%
66%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 1
CER
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CER
1 - 2
MON
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REG
2 - 2
CER
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CER
3 - 3
ABA
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GFC
0 - 0
SCF
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SCF
0 - 0
BEN
39%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FAM
3 - 2
SCF
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
COV
1 - 0
SCF
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SCF
3 - 1
POR
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |