Cerro de Reyes vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CDB
1 - 2
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CER
2 - 2
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VEC
3 - 1
CER
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CER
2 - 1
LUG
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
CER
57%
23%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
RVB
3 - 0
DEP
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
RVB
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
RVB
0 - 0
EXT
50%
26%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 0
RVB
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
RVB
1 - 1
ULP
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |