Cerro Porteño vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
6º
6º
17
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
CCP
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 1
JLM
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 0
CCP
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 4
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
TAC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 3
LQE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 1
TAC
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |