Cerro Porteño vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
7º
2º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
2DE
52%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 3
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |