Cerro Porteño vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
CCP
1 - 0
SPT
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 3
CCP
37%
29%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CCP
0 - 0
LQE
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
CCP
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
1 - 0
GAR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
BOL
3 - 0
SPC
34%
22%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
UTC
4 - 1
SPC
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SPC
2 - 3
PAL
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |