Cerro Porteño vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
2º
31
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
CCP
26%
28%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
CCP
0 - 4
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
CCP
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
CCP
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
23%
25%
53%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
PAT
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |