Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
2º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
CCP
0 - 3
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 2
JLM
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 2
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 2
LIB
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |