Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
IND
3 - 2
CCP
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
SPT
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 4
CCP
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 1
CCP
29%
28%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
BOS
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
30%
28%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 5
LIB
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |