Cerro Porteño vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 1
CCP
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
RÑU
3 - 3
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
CCP
3 - 2
CAL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CCP
0 - 0
LQE
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
4 - 0
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 1
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
DEP
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |