Cerro Porteño vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
CCP
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CCP
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CCP
2 - 2
RÑU
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
CCP
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CER
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |