PF Cerro Por. vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
CER
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 5
CCP
22%
26%
53%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TAC
4 - 0
CER
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
RÑU
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
CER
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 0
IND
74%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
RÑU
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |