PF Cerro Por. vs Chore Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 3
CER
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
CER
1 - 2
PET
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
CER
0 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 2
CER
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PHA
1 - 0
CER
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chore Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
CHO
1 - 0
FER
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
RÑU
3 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
3 - 1
CHO
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CHO
0 - 1
PHA
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CHO
1 - 1
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |