Cerro Largo vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
CSC
38%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
REN
0 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HFC
1 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ATE
2 - 0
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 2
BOS
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 2
SUD
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 3
REN
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 2
SUD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 0
CSC
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |