Cerro Largo vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEP
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 2
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CSC
1 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 3
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 0
HFC
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
HFC
1 - 2
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 1
REN
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 0
ROC
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 0
BOS
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 1
ROC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |