Cerro Largo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CSM
0 - 0
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATE
2 - 3
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
ROC
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
PRO
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
4 - 2
TAC
32%
26%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 0
DEP
37%
27%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |