Cerro Largo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 3
PLA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HFC
0 - 0
CEL
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CSC
0 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 0
CAN
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 4
BOS
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 2
PRO
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
PRO
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
PLA
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HFC
1 - 2
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |