Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
CSC
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 1
MWA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
MWA
2 - 1
CEL
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
CEL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
3 - 2
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 3
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |