Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 0
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PLA
3 - 1
CEL
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
CER
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 1
CEL
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DEF
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
BOS
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
26%
25%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |