Cerro vs Deportivo Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BUF
1 - 3
CER
37%
22%
42%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PNA
1 - 4
CER
31%
22%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CER
3 - 1
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 4
CER
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CER
2 - 0
EEF
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DPG
2 - 4
BPA
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 3
DPG
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DPG
1 - 2
YTB
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LLO
2 - 1
DPG
48%
21%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DPG
4 - 1
CEL
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |