A. Cerro Águila vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
SOL
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SOL
12 - 1
BAE
64%
21%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CIU
2 - 0
SOL
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SOL
2 - 1
AGU
29%
25%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 0
SOL
29%
26%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
UDM
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
UDM
73%
18%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
5 - 0
BAE
60%
23%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
UDM
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |