Cerrito vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSC
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 1
PLA
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSC
70%
20%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 2
MWA
32%
27%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
CSC
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
REN
1 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 2
DEF
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |