Cerrito vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
CSC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 4
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 5
PEÑ
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CSC
1 - 2
LFC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
3 - 1
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 3
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAU
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |