Céres vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
CER
15%
19%
67%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
CER
0 - 2
CAM
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CER
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CER
4 - 2
ANG
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
OLA
2 - 1
QUE
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
OLA
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
OLA
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
OLA
2 - 1
AME
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SCR
3 - 2
OLA
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |