Céres vs Itaperuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CER
0 - 1
ANG
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
PFC
1 - 2
CER
43%
24%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CER
3 - 1
SEC
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
CER
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
CER
2 - 1
AFC
41%
25%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Itaperuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
BON
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 2
ITA
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 0
PFC
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SEC
3 - 3
ITA
75%
16%
10%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 2
GOY
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | +5 |