Céres vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
7 - 0
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
CER
1 - 3
OLA
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
CER
15%
19%
67%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
CER
0 - 2
CAM
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CER
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PET
2 - 1
GOY
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
PET
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PET
1 - 2
AUD
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 1
PET
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PET
4 - 1
QUE
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |