Céres vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
CER
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
CER
0 - 3
AME
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
AUD
1 - 1
CER
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
SAO
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
CER
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUQ
2 - 2
BAR
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DUQ
5 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DUQ
1 - 2
GAM
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
DUQ
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |