Céres vs Campos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CER
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
CER
4 - 2
ANG
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
CER
0 - 1
DUQ
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
CER
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Campos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 2
AME
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAM
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
AFC
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SCR
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |