Céres vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
CAA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CMA
2 - 0
CER
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
CMA
18%
22%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
CER
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CER
0 - 0
PAD
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BON
0 - 2
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 2
BON
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BON
1 - 2
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 2
BON
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
BON
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |