Cerea vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 3
CER
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
PIS
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
CER
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CER
3 - 0
VIR
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CER
67%
20%
14%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
ACE
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 0
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 4
RAV
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 0
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
TUT
33%
25%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |