Cerea vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
CER
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
VIR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 3
TUT
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
3 - 0
CER
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
SCA
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ACE
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SCA
1 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
RAV
15%
23%
63%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |