CCD Cerceda vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ALO
2 - 3
CER
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CER
2 - 0
CDD
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BET
1 - 2
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CER
3 - 1
SOM
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASP
1 - 1
CER
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CDD
2 - 3
CHO
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
SOM
45%
25%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BOI
3 - 2
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
ORD
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NEG
3 - 1
CHO
54%
24%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |