Cerceda CF vs FPA Las Rozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerceda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ACA
1 - 2
CER
60%
19%
20%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CER
1 - 3
AGR
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BPI
1 - 2
CER
44%
23%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GAL
4 - 1
CER
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CER
0 - 1
UAR
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FPA Las Rozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LRO
3 - 1
SPB
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LRO
0 - 2
ACA
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AGR
0 - 2
LRO
16%
20%
65%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BPI
0 - 4
LRO
46%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LRO
1 - 2
GAL
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |