Centro Español vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
CBA
1 - 2
CES
45%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
CES
0 - 1
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SBA
0 - 1
CES
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CES
2 - 5
CLA
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 3
CES
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
JUU
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
DPA
2 - 2
LUG
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
PUE
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
YUP
2 - 0
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
CAA
31%
25%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |