Centro Español vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 2
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CES
0 - 1
ALE
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SBA
0 - 4
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CES
1 - 2
SMA
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
ARR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 0
CBA
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAÑ
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CLA
0 - 0
LUG
46%
27%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
RIE
0 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
SMG
38%
29%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |