CERFA vs Dynamo Le Moule analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
8º
19
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CERFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
GOU
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 0
CER
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CER
2 - 1
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CER
0 - 0
CSC
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASG
1 - 0
CER
51%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Le Moule
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CBM
2 - 1
ASD
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 1
RSG
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
ASD
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 0
USB
36%
22%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SIR
0 - 2
ASD
57%
20%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |