Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
AFO
1 - 1
CEN
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
COR
2 - 3
CEN
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
SDJ
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
AME
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 2
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
0 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NAU
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 0
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |