Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 1
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
CEN
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
CEN
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRB
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAU
31%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |