Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
AME
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAL
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |